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Statistical Analysis: Relationship Between Tricks and Points
#7
I'll post these predictors vs actual results. My interest for QC is total points but I compared the tricks to counters pulled.

First the 2.4 results:
Aces Trump tricks 2,4 counters
   4       7        12   29     29
   5       7        16   38     39
   5       6        10   24     32
   4       7        10   24     24
   7       9        15   36     34
   5       9        13   31     31
   4       8        12   29     29
   5       6          8   19     18
   3       8         10  24     24

Does very, very well. The trick is figuring out the tricks.

This is results of my QC method:
Aces Trump QC points
   4       7      22    29
   5       7      24    41
   5       6      22    30
   4       7      22    24
   7       9      32    36
   5       9      28    33
   4       8      24    31
   5       6      22    20
   3       8      22    24

There is upside for a human if they are very very good at predicting tricks taken to bid 5 to 15 points higher than Quality Count method. Also of course lots of upside to wishfully bid too high. Smile
But this is an area where the best humans have an advantage over the bot, and I wouldn't want it any different.
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RE: Statistical Analysis: Relationship Between Tricks and Points - rdwrites - 03-26-2016, 09:22 PM

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