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Statistical Analysis: Relationship Between Tricks and Points
#2
These observations are definitely relevant.
They give some confirmation to my secret lack of appreciation for the popular 2.4 point/trick ratio.
I would like to hear from others that insights on this topic.

My gut tells me that when we are estimating "trick:points":
  • Non-trump Aces should be using 1:2
  • Trumps might be closer to 1:2.25
  • Other Winners might be closer to 1:3
Maybe we could refine how we estimate trick:points for the Trump portion of a hand.
Maybe the Aces are each worth 2, and remaining trump after Aces and Losers have been assume would be worth 2.5?

I look forward to continued discussion, because I think the jury is very much out on this topic.

Perhaps we can iron this out well enough to create an Expert's Hand Classifier!   Big Grin
Tigre & Marya, we might need a larger sample size for crunching stats.
Or maybe a larger competition pool, PlayOK's hand histories are sufficiently formatted to handle this type of processing.  I have a small stockpile of games from there.
It's unbelievable how much you don't know about the game you've been playing all your life. -- Mickey Mantle
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RE: Statistical Analysis: Relationship Between Tricks and Points - mickmackusa - 03-26-2016, 04:14 AM

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